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What the GREATER VICTORIA real estate market is telling us this fall

There’s a different feeling in the Greater Victoria real estate market right now.

It isn’t the frantic pace we remember from the pandemic years, but it isn’t a market without opportunity, either. Buyers have more room to think. Sellers have to be a little more thoughtful about preparation and pricing. And for many people, that extra breathing room is a good thing.

More choice, but still plenty of activity

The latest Victoria Real Estate Board numbers show 591 properties sold across the region in August 2026 — 12.6% more than August 2025. Single-family home sales were up 15.3% year over year, while condominium sales increased 15.1%.

At the end of August, there were 3,662 active listings. That was slightly higher than a year earlier, but lower than July, creating a market with a healthy amount of choice without feeling overwhelmed by supply.

What does that mean for buyers?

For buyers, this kind of market can feel more comfortable. You may have time to compare neighbourhoods, consider the practical details of a home and make a decision based on what actually fits your life.

That can be especially valuable for first-time buyers, people relocating to Vancouver Island, or anyone trying to balance lifestyle goals with a long-term financial plan.

The key is not to assume that every home will negotiate the same way. Well-priced, well-presented homes can still attract strong interest, while properties that need more work may give buyers more room to negotiate.

And for sellers?

This is a market where preparation matters.

With thousands of properties available, buyers can be selective. A home that is clean, well-presented and priced realistically has a better chance of standing out than one that is relying on yesterday’s market conditions.

That doesn’t mean every seller needs to renovate or spend heavily before listing. Often, the better question is: What will make the biggest difference to the right buyer?

  • Small repairs that have been put off
  • Thoughtful decluttering and presentation
  • Professional photography and strong marketing
  • A pricing strategy based on current comparable properties
  • A clear understanding of timing and your own next step

Prices are telling a more nuanced story

One of the reasons I like looking at the MLS® Home Price Index rather than focusing on a single average sale price is that it gives us a better sense of how typical homes are trending over time.

In the Victoria Core, the August 2026 benchmark for a single-family home was $1,301,800, down 0.6% from a year earlier. The condominium benchmark was $553,600, up 0.9% from August 2025.

Those numbers remind us that “the market” is really a collection of different markets. Property type, neighbourhood, condition and price point all matter.

The bigger picture: more time to make a thoughtful decision

For me, one of the most encouraging things about this market is that people have more opportunity to make decisions carefully.

Buying or selling a home is rarely just about the property. It can be about downsizing after the kids have left home. Moving closer to family. Starting over somewhere new. Finding a home that better fits the way you live now.

Those decisions deserve more than pressure and headlines.

If you’re wondering what today’s Greater Victoria market means for your particular situation, I’m always happy to be a resource. No pressure. No hard sales. Just an honest conversation about your options and what thoughtful planning might look like.

MLS® property information is provided under copyright© by the Vancouver Island Real Estate Board and Victoria Real Estate Board. The information is from sources deemed reliable, but should not be relied upon without independent verification.

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How Vancouver's Market Actually Behaves in the Fall

Vancouver's real estate calendar has a shape to it. Spring is loud, summer drifts, and then something interesting happens in September: the market wakes up again, briefly, and behaves differently than it did in April.

If you are planning a move this season, it helps to understand what actually changes.

A short window, not a slow season

The common assumption is that fall is quiet. It is more accurate to say fall is compressed. New listings tend to climb through September and into October as sellers who waited out the summer come to market. Then, as November arrives and the weather turns, activity fades quickly into the holidays.

That gives you roughly a ten-week window where inventory and attention overlap. Miss it, and the next real opportunity is February.

Fewer buyers, but better ones

Foot traffic drops in the fall. Open houses feel thinner. This worries sellers more than it should.

The buyers who are still looking in October are not browsing. They have usually been at it since spring, they have financing arranged, and many are working against a deadline — a lease ending, a school year underway, a rate hold about to expire. A smaller pool of motivated buyers can transact faster than a large pool of curious ones.

Runners on the False Creek seawall with Yaletown's condo towers and moored boats across the water

Condos and detached homes diverge

These two segments rarely move together, and the gap tends to widen in autumn.

  • Condos are more sensitive to interest rates and to investor sentiment, and they compete directly with the rental market. Presale completions can add supply to a specific neighbourhood all at once.
  • Detached homes in established neighbourhoods trade on scarcity. Fewer come to market in the fall, and the ones that do often draw disproportionate attention.

Treating "the Vancouver market" as one number obscures more than it reveals. The West Side, the East Side, Burnaby and the North Shore can all be telling different stories in the same month.

Rates set the mood

Autumn brings Bank of Canada announcements, and Vancouver is one of the most rate-sensitive markets in the country. Expectations matter as much as the decisions themselves: buyers who believe cheaper money is coming will wait, and that hesitation shows up as softer offers well before it shows up in the statistics.

What this means in practice

If you are selling: price it correctly the first week. Fall buyers are comparison shoppers with a short list, and a home that lingers into November tends to sit until spring. Presentation matters more when the light is low — clean windows, warm lighting, and photography shot before the leaves are gone.

If you are buying: this is the season with the most negotiating room. Ask how long a listing has been active and whether it has been relisted. Sellers still on the market in late October are usually the ones who need to move.

The honest caveat

Seasonal patterns describe tendencies, not guarantees. Any given autumn can be reshaped by a rate decision, a policy change, or simple local supply. For current numbers — sales volume, active inventory, and benchmark prices in your specific neighbourhood — the monthly board statistics are the place to look, and I am happy to walk through what they mean for your situation.

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Fall in Vancouver: The Quiet Best Season

Summer gets the postcards, but ask anyone who has lived here a few years and they will tell you the truth: fall is when Vancouver is at its best.

The light changes first. By late September the sun sits lower and turns the whole North Shore gold for about twenty minutes each evening. Then the maples along the residential streets start turning, and neighbourhoods you have driven through a hundred times suddenly look like somewhere you have never been.

Where to see it

  • Stanley Park — the seawall is glorious, but the interior trails around Lost Lagoon are where the colour actually is.

  • Queen Elizabeth Park — the quarry garden in October, with the city skyline behind it.

  • The UBC Endowment Lands — big trees, soft ground, and far fewer people than you would expect.

  • Your own block — genuinely. Vancouver's street trees do a lot of work this time of year.

And yes, the rain

It arrives. It always arrives. But there is something to be said for a city that gives you permission to slow down for a few months — long walks in good boots, a coffee that lasts an hour, the mountains disappearing and reappearing behind the cloud.

A white house with red trim behind a picket fence, framed by yellow maples and fallen leaves on the lawn

A quieter market, too

Fall has its own rhythm in real estate. The spring rush is over, listings sit a little longer, and the people still looking tend to be serious. For buyers that can mean more room to think and more room to negotiate. For sellers it means a smaller audience, but a more motivated one — and a home that photographs beautifully with the light coming through the trees.

If a fall move is on your mind, it is a good season to start the conversation.

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Check out this new hot property at # 3407 909 MAINLAND ST in Vancouver.
 
PENTHOUSE unit situated on the NW CORNER w/view to COAL HARBOUR, NORTHSHORE MTNS & STANLEY PARK. The Suite- Open layout with granite countertops, S/S appliances, two SEPARATE BEDROOMS & 2 full baths, with 2 BALCONIES - one North w/view of OCEAN & MOUNTAINS from the living room, a second balcony from the master bdrm. The Building- Yaletown Park II, within minutes to seawall & marina, Urban Fare & all the trendy shops & restaurants in Yaletown. Excellent amenities including fitness club, guest suite, media/meeting room & concierge service. Balance of New home warranty. 1 parking & 1 locker included. Pets/rentals welcome. Visit realtor's website for details.
 
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ABC Realty Inc.
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Check out this new hot property at # 102 2893 W 41ST AV in Vancouver.
 
Welcome to 2893 West 41st Ave. - an exquisite 19 unit boutique resort style complex - generously proportioned 2 bdrm & luscious 400 SF south-facing private garden awaits your splendid ideas, perfect for summer cookouts, outdoor reading, and and fido's playground. Superb location, reputable schools, and well-managed building make this property a must-see. Call now for your private appointment, you won't be disappointed.
 
Don't miss this opportunity! Contact me at: 555-909-3333.
 
Jennifer McCoy
555-909-2222
ABC Realty Inc.
Read

Check out this new hot property at # 3407 909 MAINLAND ST in Vancouver.
 
PENTHOUSE unit situated on the NW CORNER w/view to COAL HARBOUR, NORTHSHORE MTNS & STANLEY PARK. The Suite- Open layout with granite countertops, S/S appliances, two SEPARATE BEDROOMS & 2 full baths, with 2 BALCONIES - one North w/view of OCEAN & MOUNTAINS from the living room, a second balcony from the master bdrm. The Building- Yaletown Park II, within minutes to seawall & marina, Urban Fare & all the trendy shops & restaurants in Yaletown. Excellent amenities including fitness club, guest suite, media/meeting room & concierge service. Balance of New home warranty. 1 parking & 1 locker included. Pets/rentals welcome. Visit realtor's website for details.
 
Don't miss this opportunity! Contact me at: 555-909-3333.
 
Jennifer McCoy
555-909-2222
ABC Realty Inc.
Read

Check out this new hot property at # 102 2893 W 41ST AV in Vancouver.
 
Welcome to 2893 West 41st Ave. - an exquisite 19 unit boutique resort style complex - generously proportioned 2 bdrm & luscious 400 SF south-facing private garden awaits your splendid ideas, perfect for summer cookouts, outdoor reading, and and fido's playground. Superb location, reputable schools, and well-managed building make this property a must-see. Call now for your private appointment, you won't be disappointed.
 
Don't miss this opportunity! Contact me at: 555-909-3333.
 
Jennifer McCoy
555-909-2222
ABC Realty Inc.
Read

Check out this new hot property at # 102 2893 W 41ST AV in Vancouver.
 
Welcome to 2893 West 41st Ave. - an exquisite 19 unit boutique resort style complex - generously proportioned 2 bdrm & luscious 400 SF south-facing private garden awaits your splendid ideas, perfect for summer cookouts, outdoor reading, and and fido's playground. Superb location, reputable schools, and well-managed building make this property a must-see. Call now for your private appointment, you won't be disappointed.
 
Don't miss this opportunity! Contact me at: 555-909-3333.
 
Jennifer McCoy
555-909-2222
ABC Realty Inc.
Read

Check out this new hot property at # 3407 909 MAINLAND ST in Vancouver.
 
PENTHOUSE unit situated on the NW CORNER w/view to COAL HARBOUR, NORTHSHORE MTNS & STANLEY PARK. The Suite- Open layout with granite countertops, S/S appliances, two SEPARATE BEDROOMS & 2 full baths, with 2 BALCONIES - one North w/view of OCEAN & MOUNTAINS from the living room, a second balcony from the master bdrm. The Building- Yaletown Park II, within minutes to seawall & marina, Urban Fare & all the trendy shops & restaurants in Yaletown. Excellent amenities including fitness club, guest suite, media/meeting room & concierge service. Balance of New home warranty. 1 parking & 1 locker included. Pets/rentals welcome. Visit realtor's website for details.
 
Don't miss this opportunity! Contact me at: 555-909-3333.
 
Jennifer McCoy
555-909-2222
ABC Realty Inc.
Read

Check out this new hot property at # 102 2893 W 41ST AV in Vancouver.
 
Welcome to 2893 West 41st Ave. - an exquisite 19 unit boutique resort style complex - generously proportioned 2 bdrm & luscious 400 SF south-facing private garden awaits your splendid ideas, perfect for summer cookouts, outdoor reading, and and fido's playground. Superb location, reputable schools, and well-managed building make this property a must-see. Call now for your private appointment, you won't be disappointed.
 
Don't miss this opportunity! Contact me at: 555-909-3333.
 
Jennifer McCoy
555-909-2222
ABC Realty Inc.
Read

Check out this new hot property at # 102 2893 W 41ST AV in Vancouver.
 
Welcome to 2893 West 41st Ave. - an exquisite 19 unit boutique resort style complex - generously proportioned 2 bdrm & luscious 400 SF south-facing private garden awaits your splendid ideas, perfect for summer cookouts, outdoor reading, and and fido's playground. Superb location, reputable schools, and well-managed building make this property a must-see. Call now for your private appointment, you won't be disappointed.
 
Don't miss this opportunity! Contact me at: 555-909-3333.
 
Jennifer McCoy
555-909-2222
ABC Realty Inc.
Read
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